Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.117537 0.135776 0.155669 0.178945 0.205397 0.234492 0.268884
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.095433 0.120993 0.151276 0.189663 0.236876 0.292887 0.364202
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.074688 0.103019 0.139179 0.188394 0.253267 0.335443 0.446951
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.064171 0.095373 0.137889 0.199451 0.285584 0.400955 0.566143
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.053915 0.085866 0.132104 0.202942 0.307530 0.454789 0.675926
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.044155 0.075073 0.122424 0.198882 0.317518 0.492370 0.766565
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.037017 0.066888 0.115092 0.196779 0.329391 0.533080 0.865159
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033708 0.064287 0.115967 0.207322 0.361575 0.607099 1.020964
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030684 0.061587 0.116135 0.216450 0.392132 0.681123 1.183425
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025871 0.054753 0.108074 0.210186 0.395793 0.711459 1.277343
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022487 0.050019 0.103023 0.208420 0.406690 0.754360 1.395450
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019200 0.044877 0.096405 0.202737 0.409597 0.783291 1.491471
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016607 0.040792 0.091379 0.199674 0.417445 0.822501 1.610873
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015047 0.038694 0.090075 0.203822 0.439540 0.889698 1.787159
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012901 0.034843 0.084488 0.198364 0.441940 0.920135 1.897690
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012139 0.034171 0.085746 0.207619 0.475256 1.012858 2.134836
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010981 0.032288 0.083974 0.209943 0.494234 1.078935 2.325454
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009536 0.029364 0.079309 0.205057 0.497066 1.112595 2.454132
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008415 0.027092 0.075863 0.202515 0.504690 1.156608 2.607270
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008075 0.026968 0.077783 0.213124 0.543212 1.268874 2.910948
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007687 0.026627 0.079090 0.222362 0.579462 1.379152 3.218748
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006679 0.024188 0.074439 0.215873 0.577680 1.405999 3.349131
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.005974 0.022549 0.071720 0.214027 0.586895 1.458003 3.538453